Comments on: Looking Ahead to 2006 http://informedspeculation.com/2005/11/12/looking-ahead-to-2006/ Refunds Cheerfully Given To All Who Disagree Fri, 10 Feb 2012 06:53:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0 By: Decision ‘08 » Blog Archive » The Pundit Roundtable Is Up http://informedspeculation.com/2005/11/12/looking-ahead-to-2006/comment-page-1/#comment-7935 Decision ‘08 » Blog Archive » The Pundit Roundtable Is Up Sun, 13 Nov 2005 18:27:06 +0000 http://decision08.net/2005/11/12/looking-ahead-to-2006/#comment-7935 [...] You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your ownsite. [...] [...] You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your ownsite. [...]

]]> By: Mark http://informedspeculation.com/2005/11/12/looking-ahead-to-2006/comment-page-1/#comment-7925 Mark Sun, 13 Nov 2005 03:42:34 +0000 http://decision08.net/2005/11/12/looking-ahead-to-2006/#comment-7925 Eric, good point about the gerrymandering...the incumbent protection racket may yet strike again...I do feel that Bush has started the counter-offensive, but it just hasn't shown in the polls yet... Eric, good point about the gerrymandering…the incumbent protection racket may yet strike again…I do feel that Bush has started the counter-offensive, but it just hasn’t shown in the polls yet…

]]> By: Eric Lindholm http://informedspeculation.com/2005/11/12/looking-ahead-to-2006/comment-page-1/#comment-7924 Eric Lindholm Sun, 13 Nov 2005 03:24:32 +0000 http://decision08.net/2005/11/12/looking-ahead-to-2006/#comment-7924 A good analysis, Mark, but a pessimistic estimate. While the GOP will undoubtably lose seats, gerrymandering has significantly reduced the number of competitive seats up for grabs. And IIRC there are more Democratic imcumbents considered "competitive" than Republican seats. The GOP will continue to hold both houses, but with slimmer margins. Election 2006 is a year away - a lifetime in politics. If Bush starts to press back on Iraq, then the Iraqis hold elections next month, then Libby pleads out, everything may even out. A good analysis, Mark, but a pessimistic estimate. While the GOP will undoubtably lose seats, gerrymandering has significantly reduced the number of competitive seats up for grabs. And IIRC there are more Democratic imcumbents considered “competitive” than Republican seats. The GOP will continue to hold both houses, but with slimmer margins.

Election 2006 is a year away – a lifetime in politics. If Bush starts to press back on Iraq, then the Iraqis hold elections next month, then Libby pleads out, everything may even out.

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