Lieberman Has Wide Lead Over Lamont…
…in the latest Quinnipiac Poll (though I’ve seen two other recent polls showing Lieberman with only a two-point lead – for example the WSJ/Zogby poll out today shows Lieberman with only a 1.8% lead):
Senator Joe Lieberman leads by 10 points, 49% – 39%, over the Democrat Ned Lamont in a poll released this morning from Quinnipiac University. Poll Director Douglas Schwartz says: “”Ned Lamont has lost momentum. He’s gained only two points in six weeks. He’s going to have to do something different in the next six weeks or Sen. Joseph Lieberman stays in for another six years.” In our opinion Lamont peaked about a week before the August primary and has been slowly losing altitude ever since. Ironically, it was Lieberman who came out of the primary with momentum which was hugely important as it served to mute the bump Lamont would have been expected to receive for pulling off the improbable upset.
I’ve counted Ned Lamont out many, many times before, and been wrong, but we’re getting awfully close to November. I think this one is heading in the right direction…
Funny, though, isn’t it, how Kos and firedoglake seem to suddenly lose all contact with the outside world whenever favorable Lieberman numbers come out? They’ve got every other poll in the world, but never the ones that show Lieberman with “Joementum” Odd thing, indeed…
If Joe wins, it will be quite interesting to see how he conducts his operations regarding the GOP vs. the Dems. Will he be a pragmatist, or will vengeance rule the day? I, for one, would love to find out.
Do you think that the fluctuation in the CT polls reflects a larger, national sentiment about Iraq? It seems to be the only issue that the election is based on.
Ned is simply stuck at 41%. Even Bush has better approval ratings. The only number that tends to fluctuate is Joe’s. I think what is happening, once again,is that the public is unhappy with Iraq and its perceived architects, but is getting closer to having to decide who is capable of handling it. Not a boost for the gop, but more for Joe as an honest democrat. If Lieberman were to declare Iraq a failure, it has bipartisan authority and impact.
A lieberman loss would do massive damage to the credbility of the dems on foreign policy. I think that is what the moderate left is realizing in ct.
Here’s an interesting question, would an independant Joe Lieberman endorse the Democratic nominee for President? Even more interesting, would Lieberman endorse the Democratic nominee if said nominee is Al Gore? My guess is if Gore is the nominee, Lieberman will, at a minimum, publicly withhold his endorsement in 2008 (ie: payback for Gore’s witholding HIS endorsement in the CT Senate Primary).
They said this race was Lamont’s to lose and he is WAY ahead there. This guy actually makes Edwards look 3-D by comparison. Hold on, Joe. Ned is scrabbling like a drowning rat already. Could this flameout finally impinge a taste of scorched reality onto the Reality Based Community?
Eh, I think not.