Generic Democrat Up By 23(!!)%
We can argue about whether the concept really has any meaning (I think it’s a very overrated measure), but it probably is, at a minimum, an indication of very, very strong voter hostility towards the ruling party:
Democrats had a 23-point lead over Republicans in every group of people questioned — likely voters, registered voters and adults — on which party’s House candidate would get their vote. That’s double the lead Republicans had a month before they seized control of Congress in 1994 and the Democrats’ largest advantage among registered voters since 1978.
This is to be expected in the first post-Foley voting, perhaps; and I still maintain that by the time the ballots are cast, the Foley effect will have largely evaporated.
Nevertheless, let us not put our heads in the sand. We have to face the fact that it is a very real possibility that we are headed for a drubbing.
I fear for our country, and I hope my readers from the left will believe me when I say that I’m not making a partisan statement. I fear that a Democratic Congress will make an all-out effort to withdraw from Iraq, and shut the door prematurely on a situation that might yet turn around with more troops.
I fear that a Democratic Congress will pull back on our techniques to fight terror, such as the President’s warrantless surveillance, and will try to water down the Patriot Act.
I fear that a Democratic Congress will not be able to resist the pent-up rage that it has towards the Republicans and this President, and will seek to censure or impeach the President at a time when our international prestige surely needs bolstering.
I fear Charles Rangel as a Committee Chair.
In short, I think a Democratic-led Congress will be an even bigger disaster than the current disastrous Congress is. The President will have to use every trick in the book (national addresses, more press conferences, personnel shakeups, etc.) to seize the initiative, because, if the Democrats do seize Congress, the next two years are going to be a challenge such as he’s never seen (and this has hardly been an uneventful presidency)…