Comments on: It’s The Economy, Stupid! (Running Out Of Time Edition) http://informedspeculation.com/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/ Refunds Cheerfully Given To All Who Disagree Sat, 07 Apr 2012 09:00:47 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0 By: Dmac http://informedspeculation.com/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-126965 Dmac Fri, 03 Nov 2006 23:12:24 +0000 http://decision08.net/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/#comment-126965 "Do voters not care about good economic news?" Sure they do, TMS - but after gettng bombarded with "BushLied/IraqVietnam/Foley/GOPhatesgays" 24/7, any good economic news has been basically non - reported on in most cases. Even when the numbers look good, almost every MSM outlet gives us the standard "yes, but..." Most GOP candidates probably figured that even if they talked about the economy, the voters were already numbed due to the vitriolic coverage of the above issues. “Do voters not care about good economic news?”

Sure they do, TMS – but after gettng bombarded with “BushLied/IraqVietnam/Foley/GOPhatesgays” 24/7, any good economic news has been basically non – reported on in most cases. Even when the numbers look good, almost every MSM outlet gives us the standard “yes, but…” Most GOP candidates probably figured that even if they talked about the economy, the voters were already numbed due to the vitriolic coverage of the above issues.

]]> By: Mark http://informedspeculation.com/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-126930 Mark Fri, 03 Nov 2006 22:02:38 +0000 http://decision08.net/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/#comment-126930 Inflation has been too high, no argument here...however, the traditional remedy for inflation is to raise the Fed Funds rate, and with housing in a slump... Inflation has been too high, no argument here…however, the traditional remedy for inflation is to raise the Fed Funds rate, and with housing in a slump…

]]> By: mikebdot http://informedspeculation.com/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-126926 mikebdot Fri, 03 Nov 2006 21:48:54 +0000 http://decision08.net/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/#comment-126926 Also, the presence of <a href="http://inflationdata.com/Inflation/images/charts/Annual_Inflation/annual_inflation_chart.htm" rel="nofollow">inflation</a> doesn't really put the "wages have increase 3.9%" in too good of a light...it's darn near 4.00% as it turns out (probably between 3.5% and 3.75% with the Katrina blips mentioned on the graph). But, yes, unemployment low is a fairly good thing I suppose. But, just talking about one indicator would not be very convincing... Also, the presence of inflation doesn’t really put the “wages have increase 3.9%” in too good of a light…it’s darn near 4.00% as it turns out (probably between 3.5% and 3.75% with the Katrina blips mentioned on the graph). But, yes, unemployment low is a fairly good thing I suppose. But, just talking about one indicator would not be very convincing…

]]> By: too many steves http://informedspeculation.com/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-126880 too many steves Fri, 03 Nov 2006 20:18:13 +0000 http://decision08.net/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/#comment-126880 Agree with the topic and theme of this post. Why is it so obvious to you and me but not to them? Do they know something we don't? Do voters not care about good economic news? Is broad positive economic news irrelevant to most voters because they already know, and only care, about their own situation? Or is it just that those running for office see only two silver bullets: security & their record? In any case, strange that it isn't front and center. Agree with the topic and theme of this post. Why is it so obvious to you and me but not to them? Do they know something we don’t? Do voters not care about good economic news? Is broad positive economic news irrelevant to most voters because they already know, and only care, about their own situation? Or is it just that those running for office see only two silver bullets: security & their record?

In any case, strange that it isn’t front and center.

]]> By: Mark http://informedspeculation.com/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-126788 Mark Fri, 03 Nov 2006 17:12:25 +0000 http://decision08.net/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/#comment-126788 Well, if you're asking which way the undecideds will break, it's very, very hard to figure out these days, because the news cycles happen so quickly (who cares about Mark Foley anymore?). That's why some people (i.e., Greenwald) are upset about the scheduled Saddam verdict - it will be so close to the election. I suspect, though, all things being equal, that the Democrats WILL get most of the undecideds this time around...and yes, that's not great news for Republicans...but that's just a gut feeling, like most of my predictions... Well, if you’re asking which way the undecideds will break, it’s very, very hard to figure out these days, because the news cycles happen so quickly (who cares about Mark Foley anymore?). That’s why some people (i.e., Greenwald) are upset about the scheduled Saddam verdict – it will be so close to the election.

I suspect, though, all things being equal, that the Democrats WILL get most of the undecideds this time around…and yes, that’s not great news for Republicans…but that’s just a gut feeling, like most of my predictions…

]]> By: mikebdot http://informedspeculation.com/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-126783 mikebdot Fri, 03 Nov 2006 17:05:21 +0000 http://decision08.net/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/#comment-126783 Oh, sorry for not including <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/archive/?poll_id=14" rel="nofollow">the link</a> the first time around. Oh, sorry for not including the link the first time around.

]]> By: mikebdot http://informedspeculation.com/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/comment-page-1/#comment-126781 mikebdot Fri, 03 Nov 2006 17:04:41 +0000 http://decision08.net/2006/11/03/its-the-economy-stupid-running-out-of-time-edition/#comment-126781 Just curious as to your thoughts on this (it's not on topic, per se). I was checking the real clear politics polling info and noticed something interesting. I saw those 20%+ spread figures awhile back and then the 0%-3% spread figures and wondered what could have accounted for that. Well, I noticed the "undecided" tally for the 20% spreads are low while they are quite high for close spreads. Basically, for the last 29 polls the average spread for undecided of 5% or less is just shy of 17% spread, while the average for undecided of 6% or more is just under 14%. Just something I noticed and though "gee, that's not great news for Republicans". Of course, many polling people were banking on a 2-1 undecided swing for Kerry and none of them were right, so we'll see I guess. I'm still in the "close but not quite" camp. Just curious as to your thoughts on this (it’s not on topic, per se). I was checking the real clear politics polling info and noticed something interesting. I saw those 20%+ spread figures awhile back and then the 0%-3% spread figures and wondered what could have accounted for that. Well, I noticed the “undecided” tally for the 20% spreads are low while they are quite high for close spreads. Basically, for the last 29 polls the average spread for undecided of 5% or less is just shy of 17% spread, while the average for undecided of 6% or more is just under 14%. Just something I noticed and though “gee, that’s not great news for Republicans”. Of course, many polling people were banking on a 2-1 undecided swing for Kerry and none of them were right, so we’ll see I guess. I’m still in the “close but not quite” camp.

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