jwest, what the hell “hard numbers” are you talking about? Share them with us, please?

I too feel that the Repubs will keep the Senate but holding out hope for the House.

I will comment that if the Dems can’t take back at least one chamber with all the anti-GOP media hype, then they are a “dead” party.

The good people of my home state of Massachusetts will overwhelmingly re-elect Ted Kennedy to the US Senate.

And that is WITHOUT my vote!

They want the Democrats to win.

The only cavil they have is with Nancy Pelosi:

Many Democratic politicians and some from the Republican Party have stated a withdrawal from Iraq would end the insurgency there.

In a recent interview with CBS’s “60 Minutes,” House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, stated, “The jihadists (are) in Iraq. But that doesn’t mean we stay there. They’ll stay there as long as we’re there.”

Pelosi would become House speaker if the Democrats win the majority of seats in next week’s elections.

WND read Pelosi’s remarks to the terror leaders, who unanimously rejected her contention an American withdrawal would end the insurgency.

Islamic Jihad’s Saadi, laughing, stated, “There is no chance that the resistance will stop.”

He said an American withdrawal from Iraq would “prove the resistance is the most important tool and that this tool works. The victory of the Iraqi revolution will mark an important step in the history of the region and in the attitude regarding the United States.”

Jihad Jaara said an American withdrawal would “mark the beginning of the collapse of this tyrant empire (America).”

“Therefore, a victory in Iraq would be a greater defeat for America than in Vietnam.”

Jaara said vacating Iraq would also “reinforce Palestinian resistance organizations, especially from the moral point of view. But we also learn from these (insurgency) movements militarily. We look and learn from them.”

Hamas’ Abu Abdullah argued a withdrawal from Iraq would “convince those among the Palestinians who still have doubts in the efficiency of the resistance.”

“The victory of the resistance in Iraq would prove once more that when the will and the faith are applied victory is not only a slogan. We saw that in Lebanon (during Israel’s confrontation against Hezbollah there in July and August); we saw it in Gaza (after Israel withdrew from the territory last summer) and we will see it everywhere there is occupation,” Abdullah said.

While the terror leaders each independently urged American citizens to vote for Democratic candidates, not all believed the Democrats would actually carry out a withdrawal from Iraq.

Saadi stated, “Unfortunately I think those who are speaking about a withdrawal will not do so when they are in power and these promises will remain electoral slogans. It is not enough to withdraw from Iraq. They must withdraw from Afghanistan and from every Arab and Muslim land they occupy or have bases.”

He called both Democrats and Republicans “agents of the Zionist lobby in the U.S.”

Abu Abdullah commented once Democrats are in power “the question is whether such a courageous leadership can [withdraw]. I am afraid that even after the American people will elect those who promise to leave Iraq, the U.S. will not do so. I tell the American people vote for withdrawal. Abandon Israel if you want to save America. Now will this Happen? I do not believe it.”

Still Jihad Jaara said the alternative is better than Bush’s party.

“Bush is a sick person, an alcoholic person that has no control of what is going on around him. He calls to send more troops but will very soon get to the conviction that the violence and terror that his war machine is using in Iraq will never impose policies and political regimes in the Arab world.”

Maybe Howard Dean should see if these guys could help him tap some of Osama’s vast funding in return for pulling out of Iraq.

Senator Kennedy and Ex-Prez Jimmy Carter approached the Soviet leadership in 1983 for help in the ‘84 elections against Ronald Reagan, according to KGB documents.

Why shouldn’t the Dems tap into their overseas “Hate America” allies?

Republicans maintain majority in Senate
Dems slim in House. I’m still hopeful, but not very optimistic.

Contested Races: 20
Legally challenged races: 12

IF you have followed these races too closely, the polling from the past month will cloud your judgment. The polling from the last day is more suggestive of the results, and momentum is growing exponentially. Almost all polls are too old-24 hours is a political year.

Nothing the gop has done to influence, merely an electorate examining what they are voting for.

If you haven’t noticed, the poll overstates likely voters in the “under 30K” and “18 to 49” age group as opposed to other midterm elections, both categories that favor dems.

This model is reasonably correct for a presidential year. Voters in midterms trend to older, more affluent groups.

a month ago, the election was a month away.
a week ago,…week away.

If the defection is manifesting itself in generic polls, and women, it would suggest that the election will be far better for the gop than predicted.

Very easy to say you support dems, disapprove of the gop on a phone poll…if only it had any similarity to voting. It doesn’t. One has consequence, the other is a free shot at the gop. Had I been polled I would have taken the same shot at the gop…but put me in a booth and it is a no-brainer.