More Red Hot Predictions, From The Left And Right
Kos has his picks up, and (hilariously) he still picks Lamont. His House prediction:
24 seat pickup if there’s no wave, which I think is the likelier outcome.
36 seat pickup if there is a wave
As for the Senate, sayeth Kos:
I’m seeing a 6-seat gain…
Here’s what Republican pollster Steve Lombardo says:
We are inclined to go a bit lower and are projecting that the Democrats take the House with a net gain of 21 seats…making the new makeup 223 Democrats and 212 Republicans).
We are projecting that the Republicans hold the Senate and actually perform better than expected.
Here is how we see the individual races:
Allen will beat Webb in Virginia. The data over the last 7 days has showed Allen’s vote start to solidify. He did everything possible to give this one away but it may not be enough. VA is a Republican hold.
Burns will come from behind and win in a very close race in Montana. MT is a GOP hold.
Corker wiill beat Ford in Tennessee. This has been trending the Republican’s way since early last week. TN is a GOP hold.
Democrats will hold Maryland and New Jersey.Democrats will pick up Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and Ohio.
In the closest election in the country…and one in which making a projection is really down to a hunch….we now believe that McCaskill will narrowly defeat Jim Talent. The result: Democrats pick up 4 and fall two short of winning the Senate. The new Senate makeup will be 51 Republicans and 49 Democrats.
We’re truly in the home stretch now…
Found this poll on our local news site, KCTV 5, here in Kansas City, McCaskill 51%, Talen 42%. Everyone else says it is a tossup. This is the local CBS station. Talk about weird polls.
http://www.kctv.com/
It’s under top headlines.
That’s a pretty big storm system brewing in the middle of the country, slow moving…
I sure hope it doesn’t drape OH, IN, PA.
Evans-Novak says House: +19 Dem, Senate: +2 Dem
Senate breaks down as follows:
GOP Seats in play:
Likely GOP Retention: AZ
Leans GOP: MO, RI, TN, VA
Leans Dem: MT
Likely Dem Takeover: OH, PA
Dem Seats in play:
Likely Dem Retention: MN, NB, VT, WA, WV
Leans Dem: MI, NJ
Leans GOP: MD
They’re more optimistic than I on the Senate, but less optimistic in the house. I continue to stick with +18 MAX Dem in the House, but +3 MIN Dem in the Senate.
What’s more hilarious than Kos picking Lamont?
Commenters here insisting that Santorum’s gonna win.
Don’t include me in that group – that guy’s toast, and I won’t lament his ousting in the least.
What’s even funnier than that?
Fargus continually posting without even reading what he’s replying to.
I don’t recall anyone here even hinting that Santorum might win. I’m assuming mtl’s reference to PA and OH is to the House seats there.
And BTW, I’m with Dmac. Santorum will go and he will not be mourned.
Hey, I didn’t say either of you two. But mtl has continually asserted that Santorum has a chance because of the turnout of pro-life voters, and on one or two occasions he asserted that it was more than possible that he could eke out a victory.