Comments on: Am I Overestimating Hillary?

By: Neocon News » Daily Quick Hits 2/7/08

Neocon News » Daily Quick Hits 2/7/08 — Fri, 08 Feb 2008 05:13:49 +0000

[...] Am I Overestimating Hillary? [...]

By: Sean P

Sean P — Thu, 07 Feb 2008 18:04:00 +0000

But here’s Obama’s problem:

So far the delegate count is essentially a tie. What happens if that tie remains essentially unbroken between now and April? The superdelegates will decide. And I don’t think I’m going out on a limb when I say that, regardless of who the party regulars prefer, the insiders are more afraid of crossing Hillary (and Bill) than Obama.

And I don’t think it will be enough for Obama to get a slight lead in the non-super delegates. He needs to build a commanding lead from here on out so he only needs around 25% of the superdelegates to win on the 1st ballot, and I think the odds of him doing that well are still less than 50/50.

By: peter

peter — Thu, 07 Feb 2008 14:19:36 +0000

I am surprised by how many people have views similar to Hillary’s, but won’t vote for her because they just don’t like her. My wife voted for Howard Dean four years ago but won’t vote for Hillary now. My boss won’t vote for her because she is too “contrived.” Etc., etc. Anecdotal evidence to be sure, but I think there are enough “natural supporters” of Hillary who won’t vote for her that it could tilt the election. That’s why I voted for Obama: I don’t have a clear preference between the two, but I thought he would be more likely to win in November. Also because I don’t think that there is anything which would change the sorry state of the world’s opinion of America more quickly than to have Obama elected President.

By: Fargus

Fargus — Thu, 07 Feb 2008 04:39:38 +0000

$5,888,867. 40 minutes, $177K.

By: Mark

Mark — Thu, 07 Feb 2008 04:23:16 +0000

Those are phenemonal fundraising numbers, no doubt…

By: Fargus

Fargus — Thu, 07 Feb 2008 03:58:34 +0000

Mark, as of right now, Obama’s raised $5,711,551 since last night. Something incredible is going on here.

By: Ryan

Ryan — Thu, 07 Feb 2008 03:10:41 +0000

The rest of February looks VERY good for Obama. If he starts reeling off wins in the rest of the February states, how long before Hillary’s fundraising completely disappears?

By: Clint

Clint — Thu, 07 Feb 2008 03:02:30 +0000

I don’t have a link, but I thought I saw on CNN last night that Obama was tied with Hillary among older men, and that her strength was only among women. While that’s a big strength in the 60% female Democratic party, it’s not clear it will outweigh Obama’s strengths.

And the most telling point is still the January fundraising.