Weathered The Storm, He Has
(You have to read that headline in the voice of Yoda for it to make sense)…
Well, it looks like Obama has passed the moment of crisis. There is no doubt that the Wright affair was a very big deal, indeed – it may not have looked like much on the surface, but it snowballed quickly and forced the Obama campaign to respond – and “The Speech” had its intended outcome. Obama put enough distance between Wright and himself to turn the corner – and the corner has indeed been turned.
Proof comes in the form of Gallup’s Daily Tracking Poll. Obama had led by as much as 50-44 in the days when the speech first began to make the rounds on YouTube. The lead evaporated rapidly in the face of the growing contoversy, and by the day of Obama’s speech on Wright and race, Clinton had opened up a 7 point lead – a remarkable 13-point turnaround in less than seven days.
Even more remarkably, though, a mere 12 days after the speech, Obama now has a 10-point lead (that’s a 17-point turnaround). There’s also a growing realization among the chattering classes that Hillary has no chance to lead the pledged delegates or the popular vote, so Hillary is now banking all on the Credential Committee, in the vain hope that Michigan and Florida’s tainted delegates will be seated. In that vein, Karl Rove (yes, Karl Rove) has some advice on how to win in a contested convention…but it’s all for naught – unless Obama is caught with…well, you know the old adage.
This one is STILL over…
Not to mention Hillary’s substantial work at undermining her own support with stuff like the sniper story. Obama’s focus on grass roots organizing, and higher ground campaigning, is, by its contrast, showing Hillary to be a wholly self-centered and cynical relic of 1990′s Clintonian campaigning.
A few months ago, you had a post which chastised the Democratic candidates for failing to acknowledge what you saw as an obvious truth: the success of the surge.
Now that things are falling apart again, are you willing to revise your thinking?
Good question…deserves a longer answer than I have time for. A quick impression in my newest post, but not in-depth enough to be the last word…