http://informedspeculation.com/2008/04/20/gallup-daily-tracking-some-show-bitter-aftertaste/ Refunds Cheerfully Given To All Who Disagree Sat, 07 Apr 2012 09:00:47 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0 http://informedspeculation.com/2008/04/20/gallup-daily-tracking-some-show-bitter-aftertaste/comment-page-1/#comment-488522 DBrooks Tue, 22 Apr 2008 14:15:00 +0000 http://decision08.net/2008/04/20/gallup-daily-tracking-some-show-bitter-aftertaste/#comment-488522 The powers-that-be in the structure of the Democratic Party can't be happy as this campaign continues to expose the lightness of being that is Obama, and erodes his support among moderates and white blue-collar Democrats. I think Sean P is on to something. "They" are looking for any excuse to shut this whole thing down, and a win by Obama in Indiana would be a chance for a select group of superdelegates to throw their support behind Obama in an attempt to drive Clinton out of the campaign. The powers-that-be in the structure of the Democratic Party can’t be happy as this campaign continues to expose the lightness of being that is Obama, and erodes his support among moderates and white blue-collar Democrats. I think Sean P is on to something. “They” are looking for any excuse to shut this whole thing down, and a win by Obama in Indiana would be a chance for a select group of superdelegates to throw their support behind Obama in an attempt to drive Clinton out of the campaign.

]]> http://informedspeculation.com/2008/04/20/gallup-daily-tracking-some-show-bitter-aftertaste/comment-page-1/#comment-488064 Sean P Mon, 21 Apr 2008 17:25:59 +0000 http://decision08.net/2008/04/20/gallup-daily-tracking-some-show-bitter-aftertaste/#comment-488064 I agree with you analysis, I'd only add that Hillary's campaign is broke and that Pennsylvania will probably be the last state she is able to compete with Obama on even a remotely equal footing. Unless she wins PA by a landslide (ie at least 15, and probably closer to 20 points) Obama's cash advantage will overwhelm her in Indiana, which she can't afford to lose. And -- this is pure speculation on my part -- but if Obama wins Indiana, I wouldn't be surprised if at least 40-50 superdelegates immediately endorsed him. I agree with you analysis, I’d only add that Hillary’s campaign is broke and that Pennsylvania will probably be the last state she is able to compete with Obama on even a remotely equal footing. Unless she wins PA by a landslide (ie at least 15, and probably closer to 20 points) Obama’s cash advantage will overwhelm her in Indiana, which she can’t afford to lose. And — this is pure speculation on my part — but if Obama wins Indiana, I wouldn’t be surprised if at least 40-50 superdelegates immediately endorsed him.

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