Informed Speculation

More and more chatter is flying around concerning the possibility of an Obama/Clinton ticket – chatter that is being pushed hard by Clinton insiders.  I have always assumed Hillary wouldn’t want – and Obama wouldn’t offer – the slot of Vice President.  It’s becoming increasingly clear, however, that if the alternative is to return to [...]

…then Hillary Clinton has had the worst day of the campaign.  You can’t swing a cat without hitting some pundit, famous or otherwise, calling her presidential bid doomed (and you won’t find any disagreement here – it’s over).  Her chance of securing the nomination plummeted to 8.5% at Intrade after trading as high as 22% [...]

Computer issues prevent more than a brief post, but, though Indiana still looks like it will go Clinton by a very small margin, Obama has won North Carolina, big.  And that’s really all he needed. I wavered a bit on Obama, as he was definitely reeling, but I’m back up to 99.9% certainty: the nomination [...]

…and I’m predicting Indiana will go Clinton and North Carolina – well, it’s a toss-up. Obama SHOULD win, but everything’s coming up roses for Clinton lately, so I’m not giving North Carolina to either candidate yet. On the positive side for Obama, he’s been doing quite well with superdelegates as of late, and I predict [...]

Some time around 9:00 p.m. Central tonight, May 3, 2008, my Sitemeter is going over the 1,000,000 visitor mark. These meters are an inexact science, but that does give me some gratification. There are sites out there that get hundreds of thousands of visits per day, so I definitely don’t have the big head about [...]

Timothy Noah says Hillary Clinton supporters are living in the land of make-believe: Here’s a rule I would like every political reporter, campaign official, TV talking head, and politician in the United States to follow. Go ahead and say, if you like, that Hillary Clinton retains a serious chance of winning the Democratic nomination. If [...]

Frequent readers know that I am an unapologetic 100% free-trader. I’ve made the case elsewhere, so here I will simply state that no movement in human history has improved the lot of so many as the development of trade, particularly in the modern democratic, capitalist sense. And yet America, a country that has benefited more [...]